Current forecasts from European weather models and official sources, including the Met Office and Dutch meteorological services, indicate a peak of 33°C in Amsterdam on August 13 under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow associated with a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with recent heatwave patterns observed in the Netherlands during summer 2026, where similar synoptic conditions produced verified maxima near this threshold. Traders have converged on this outcome because official daily maximum readings, typically taken at Schiphol or central stations, are expected to match the projected value with high confidence. A shift in cloud cover, stronger onshore breeze, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could alter the actual peak by 1–2°C and challenge resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,036 Vol.
$85,036 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,036 Vol.
$85,036 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$1,093 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,039 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,112 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,155 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,744 Vol.
No
32°C
$23,557 Vol.
No
33°C
$19,786 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$17,914 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,594 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,146 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$897 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European weather models and official sources, including the Met Office and Dutch meteorological services, indicate a peak of 33°C in Amsterdam on August 13 under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow associated with a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with recent heatwave patterns observed in the Netherlands during summer 2026, where similar synoptic conditions produced verified maxima near this threshold. Traders have converged on this outcome because official daily maximum readings, typically taken at Schiphol or central stations, are expected to match the projected value with high confidence. A shift in cloud cover, stronger onshore breeze, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could alter the actual peak by 1–2°C and challenge resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$85,036End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European weather models and official sources, including the Met Office and Dutch meteorological services, indicate a peak of 33°C in Amsterdam on August 13 under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow associated with a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with recent heatwave patterns observed in the Netherlands during summer 2026, where similar synoptic conditions produced verified maxima near this threshold. Traders have converged on this outcome because official daily maximum readings, typically taken at Schiphol or central stations, are expected to match the projected value with high confidence. A shift in cloud cover, stronger onshore breeze, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could alter the actual peak by 1–2°C and challenge resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,036End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from European weather models and official sources, including the Met Office and Dutch meteorological services, indicate a peak of 33°C in Amsterdam on August 13 under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow associated with a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with recent heatwave patterns observed in the Netherlands during summer 2026, where similar synoptic conditions produced verified maxima near this threshold. Traders have converged on this outcome because official daily maximum readings, typically taken at Schiphol or central stations, are expected to match the projected value with high confidence. A shift in cloud cover, stronger onshore breeze, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could alter the actual peak by 1–2°C and challenge resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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