Current meteorological consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to a Beijing daily maximum of 32°C on August 19 under partly cloudy skies with modest boundary-layer moisture limiting stronger heating. Late-summer atmospheric patterns over northern China, including typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs, support this outcome, with ensemble forecasts showing tight clustering around 31–32°C. Trader alignment at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution, where official observations are unlikely to deviate materially. Only unexpected clearer conditions or shifts in low-level winds could push readings to 33°C, while increased cloud cover or precipitation would more likely cap the maximum below the leading outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 19?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$52,720 Vol.
$52,720 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$52,720 Vol.
$52,720 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
$588 Vol.
No
28°C
$758 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,240 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,952 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,000 Vol.
No
32°C
$12,331 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$7,700 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,059 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,048 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,830 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$215 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to a Beijing daily maximum of 32°C on August 19 under partly cloudy skies with modest boundary-layer moisture limiting stronger heating. Late-summer atmospheric patterns over northern China, including typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs, support this outcome, with ensemble forecasts showing tight clustering around 31–32°C. Trader alignment at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution, where official observations are unlikely to deviate materially. Only unexpected clearer conditions or shifts in low-level winds could push readings to 33°C, while increased cloud cover or precipitation would more likely cap the maximum below the leading outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$52,720End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to a Beijing daily maximum of 32°C on August 19 under partly cloudy skies with modest boundary-layer moisture limiting stronger heating. Late-summer atmospheric patterns over northern China, including typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs, support this outcome, with ensemble forecasts showing tight clustering around 31–32°C. Trader alignment at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution, where official observations are unlikely to deviate materially. Only unexpected clearer conditions or shifts in low-level winds could push readings to 33°C, while increased cloud cover or precipitation would more likely cap the maximum below the leading outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,720End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to a Beijing daily maximum of 32°C on August 19 under partly cloudy skies with modest boundary-layer moisture limiting stronger heating. Late-summer atmospheric patterns over northern China, including typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs, support this outcome, with ensemble forecasts showing tight clustering around 31–32°C. Trader alignment at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution, where official observations are unlikely to deviate materially. Only unexpected clearer conditions or shifts in low-level winds could push readings to 33°C, while increased cloud cover or precipitation would more likely cap the maximum below the leading outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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