Traders assign overwhelming probability (95.7%) to a 26°C high in Busan on August 17, 2026, reflecting current observational data and short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating well below the typical late-August climatological maximum of 29–31°C, with surface temperatures holding near 26–27°C through midday. Official guidance shows only modest afternoon recovery under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping the daily maximum anchored near this level. A clear, rain-free afternoon with stronger insolation could push readings to 28–29°C, but current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such a rebound unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 17?
26°C 95.3%
27°C 5%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$67,137 Vol.
$67,137 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
95%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 95.3%
27°C 5%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$67,137 Vol.
$67,137 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
95%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability (95.7%) to a 26°C high in Busan on August 17, 2026, reflecting current observational data and short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating well below the typical late-August climatological maximum of 29–31°C, with surface temperatures holding near 26–27°C through midday. Official guidance shows only modest afternoon recovery under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping the daily maximum anchored near this level. A clear, rain-free afternoon with stronger insolation could push readings to 28–29°C, but current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such a rebound unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions