Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver International Airport (KDEN) on August 16, 2026, projected a high near 82–84°F, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of 86–89°F, driven by increased cloud cover, light winds, and a modest trough suppressing peak heating. This consensus across multiple model runs and station observations aligned with the market's 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin, reflecting traders' confidence in verified maximum temperature data from the primary reporting station. Realistic challenges include minor instrument calibration variances at Buckley Space Force Base or an unexpected late-day clearing that could push readings into the low 80s or high 80s, though such shifts remained unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 16?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$26,682 Vol.
$26,682 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$26,682 Vol.
$26,682 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
$982 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,093 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,091 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,740 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,885 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,148 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$3,760 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$2,252 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,511 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$3,312 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$908 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver International Airport (KDEN) on August 16, 2026, projected a high near 82–84°F, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of 86–89°F, driven by increased cloud cover, light winds, and a modest trough suppressing peak heating. This consensus across multiple model runs and station observations aligned with the market's 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin, reflecting traders' confidence in verified maximum temperature data from the primary reporting station. Realistic challenges include minor instrument calibration variances at Buckley Space Force Base or an unexpected late-day clearing that could push readings into the low 80s or high 80s, though such shifts remained unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$26,682End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver International Airport (KDEN) on August 16, 2026, projected a high near 82–84°F, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of 86–89°F, driven by increased cloud cover, light winds, and a modest trough suppressing peak heating. This consensus across multiple model runs and station observations aligned with the market's 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin, reflecting traders' confidence in verified maximum temperature data from the primary reporting station. Realistic challenges include minor instrument calibration variances at Buckley Space Force Base or an unexpected late-day clearing that could push readings into the low 80s or high 80s, though such shifts remained unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,682End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver International Airport (KDEN) on August 16, 2026, projected a high near 82–84°F, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of 86–89°F, driven by increased cloud cover, light winds, and a modest trough suppressing peak heating. This consensus across multiple model runs and station observations aligned with the market's 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin, reflecting traders' confidence in verified maximum temperature data from the primary reporting station. Realistic challenges include minor instrument calibration variances at Buckley Space Force Base or an unexpected late-day clearing that could push readings into the low 80s or high 80s, though such shifts remained unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions