Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models point to a daily maximum of 25–28°C in Istanbul on June 16, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Typical early-summer conditions feature a weakening Azores high and moderate northerly flow that limits extreme heating while allowing daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local sea-breeze effects, keeping probabilities for 24°C or below and 29°C or higher low. Official Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs will refine the exact peak in the final 48 hours, with resolution based on the highest verified hourly reading at the primary Istanbul station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
21°C or below
$81 Vol.
1%
22°C
$104 Vol.
1%
23°C
$13 Vol.
4%
24°C
$14 Vol.
7%
25°C
$50 Vol.
24%
26°C
$46 Vol.
31%
27°C
$23 Vol.
16%
28°C
$16 Vol.
5%
29°C
$17 Vol.
5%
30°C
$110 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$431 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models point to a daily maximum of 25–28°C in Istanbul on June 16, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Typical early-summer conditions feature a weakening Azores high and moderate northerly flow that limits extreme heating while allowing daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local sea-breeze effects, keeping probabilities for 24°C or below and 29°C or higher low. Official Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs will refine the exact peak in the final 48 hours, with resolution based on the highest verified hourly reading at the primary Istanbul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$745Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models point to a daily maximum of 25–28°C in Istanbul on June 16, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Typical early-summer conditions feature a weakening Azores high and moderate northerly flow that limits extreme heating while allowing daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local sea-breeze effects, keeping probabilities for 24°C or below and 29°C or higher low. Official Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs will refine the exact peak in the final 48 hours, with resolution based on the highest verified hourly reading at the primary Istanbul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$745Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models point to a daily maximum of 25–28°C in Istanbul on June 16, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Typical early-summer conditions feature a weakening Azores high and moderate northerly flow that limits extreme heating while allowing daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local sea-breeze effects, keeping probabilities for 24°C or below and 29°C or higher low. Official Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs will refine the exact peak in the final 48 hours, with resolution based on the highest verified hourly reading at the primary Istanbul station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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