Traders have converged on 38°C as the near-certain outcome for Jeddah’s highest temperature on August 16 because official forecasts and climatological data align precisely with this value. Mid-August marks peak summer in Jeddah’s hot desert climate, where long-term averages show daily maxima of 38°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate northwesterly winds that limit cooling. Current observations and model runs from agencies tracking the region indicate a peak near 38°C with minimal deviation expected, supported by low humidity variability and negligible precipitation risk. This market-implied consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-term weather guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in the Red Sea breeze could modestly lower the maximum, while an atypical heat surge might push readings higher, though neither appears likely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
38°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$22,793 Vol.
$22,793 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$22,793 Vol.
$22,793 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
$389 Vol.
No
32°C
$389 Vol.
No
33°C
$391 Vol.
No
34°C
$303 Vol.
No
35°C
$235 Vol.
No
36°C
$216 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,580 Vol.
No
38°C
$7,336 Vol.
Yes
39°C
$3,651 Vol.
No
40°C
$3,666 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$4,636 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 38°C as the near-certain outcome for Jeddah’s highest temperature on August 16 because official forecasts and climatological data align precisely with this value. Mid-August marks peak summer in Jeddah’s hot desert climate, where long-term averages show daily maxima of 38°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate northwesterly winds that limit cooling. Current observations and model runs from agencies tracking the region indicate a peak near 38°C with minimal deviation expected, supported by low humidity variability and negligible precipitation risk. This market-implied consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-term weather guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in the Red Sea breeze could modestly lower the maximum, while an atypical heat surge might push readings higher, though neither appears likely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$22,793End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 38°C as the near-certain outcome for Jeddah’s highest temperature on August 16 because official forecasts and climatological data align precisely with this value. Mid-August marks peak summer in Jeddah’s hot desert climate, where long-term averages show daily maxima of 38°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate northwesterly winds that limit cooling. Current observations and model runs from agencies tracking the region indicate a peak near 38°C with minimal deviation expected, supported by low humidity variability and negligible precipitation risk. This market-implied consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-term weather guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in the Red Sea breeze could modestly lower the maximum, while an atypical heat surge might push readings higher, though neither appears likely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,793End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 38°C as the near-certain outcome for Jeddah’s highest temperature on August 16 because official forecasts and climatological data align precisely with this value. Mid-August marks peak summer in Jeddah’s hot desert climate, where long-term averages show daily maxima of 38°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate northwesterly winds that limit cooling. Current observations and model runs from agencies tracking the region indicate a peak near 38°C with minimal deviation expected, supported by low humidity variability and negligible precipitation risk. This market-implied consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-term weather guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in the Red Sea breeze could modestly lower the maximum, while an atypical heat surge might push readings higher, though neither appears likely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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