Weather forecasts from multiple models project a high of 28–30°C in Jinan on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge typical for early autumn in Shandong. This consensus from sources including AccuWeather and regional agencies supports the 94.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Realistically, only a sharp increase in cloud cover or an unforecast frontal boundary could pull maxima below the threshold, though current model runs show low divergence and minimal risk of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 11?
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 7%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 7%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather forecasts from multiple models project a high of 28–30°C in Jinan on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge typical for early autumn in Shandong. This consensus from sources including AccuWeather and regional agencies supports the 94.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Realistically, only a sharp increase in cloud cover or an unforecast frontal boundary could pull maxima below the threshold, though current model runs show low divergence and minimal risk of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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