Official National Weather Service observations placed the highest temperature in Los Angeles at 76-77°F on August 13, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, producing readings consistent with seasonal August averages near downtown and airport stations. Model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and local mesoscale runs showed minimal deviation in this range, with no heat advection or clear-sky amplification to push values higher. The implied probability reflects verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, leaving little room for alternative bins. Revisions to official records or station-specific anomalies remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 13?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$52,931 Vol.
$52,931 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$52,931 Vol.
$52,931 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
$842 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$505 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,223 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$14,821 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$13,032 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$6,671 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,163 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,223 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,016 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$704 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$729 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations placed the highest temperature in Los Angeles at 76-77°F on August 13, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, producing readings consistent with seasonal August averages near downtown and airport stations. Model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and local mesoscale runs showed minimal deviation in this range, with no heat advection or clear-sky amplification to push values higher. The implied probability reflects verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, leaving little room for alternative bins. Revisions to official records or station-specific anomalies remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$52,931End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations placed the highest temperature in Los Angeles at 76-77°F on August 13, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, producing readings consistent with seasonal August averages near downtown and airport stations. Model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and local mesoscale runs showed minimal deviation in this range, with no heat advection or clear-sky amplification to push values higher. The implied probability reflects verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, leaving little room for alternative bins. Revisions to official records or station-specific anomalies remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,931End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations placed the highest temperature in Los Angeles at 76-77°F on August 13, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, producing readings consistent with seasonal August averages near downtown and airport stations. Model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and local mesoscale runs showed minimal deviation in this range, with no heat advection or clear-sky amplification to push values higher. The implied probability reflects verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, leaving little room for alternative bins. Revisions to official records or station-specific anomalies remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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