Active monsoon conditions across northern India, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers, are suppressing peak solar heating and keeping Lucknow's daytime maximum near 35°C on August 15. Official India Meteorological Department observations recorded a high of 35.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and light rainfall, aligning with numerical model consensus and seasonal August norms of 31–34°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 35°C outcome reflects this tight observational and forecast agreement. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow brief spikes above 36°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 15?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$32,086 Vol.
$32,086 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$32,086 Vol.
$32,086 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions across northern India, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers, are suppressing peak solar heating and keeping Lucknow's daytime maximum near 35°C on August 15. Official India Meteorological Department observations recorded a high of 35.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and light rainfall, aligning with numerical model consensus and seasonal August norms of 31–34°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 35°C outcome reflects this tight observational and forecast agreement. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow brief spikes above 36°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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