Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 8 points to a daily high near 90–92 °F, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms likely limiting peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer moisture typical of late-summer South Florida are expected to trigger convection by midday, keeping surface temperatures from climbing much above the low 90s. The narrow market split between 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F reflects modest ensemble spread in convective timing and intensity, consistent with historical August variability when morning soundings show weak mid-level capping. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations from Miami International Airport will be the key near-term data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 8?
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 42%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 42%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 8 points to a daily high near 90–92 °F, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms likely limiting peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer moisture typical of late-summer South Florida are expected to trigger convection by midday, keeping surface temperatures from climbing much above the low 90s. The narrow market split between 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F reflects modest ensemble spread in convective timing and intensity, consistent with historical August variability when morning soundings show weak mid-level capping. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations from Miami International Airport will be the key near-term data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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