Current National Weather Service and model guidance project a Miami high temperature on August 7 in the upper 80s to low 90s°F, with showers or thunderstorms likely to develop and cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. This aligns with the market-implied consensus around 90-91°F while reflecting August climatology where average highs near 87-89°F are occasionally exceeded under light steering flow and modest mid-level moisture. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with no strong ridge or dry-air intrusion to push readings into the mid-90s, keeping higher outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will refine land-breeze timing and convective initiation, key variables for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 7?
90-91°F 54%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
54%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 54%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
79°F or below
$431 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$571 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$289 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$589 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$617 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$406 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$686 Vol.
54%
92-93°F
$1,169 Vol.
21%
94-95°F
$533 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance project a Miami high temperature on August 7 in the upper 80s to low 90s°F, with showers or thunderstorms likely to develop and cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. This aligns with the market-implied consensus around 90-91°F while reflecting August climatology where average highs near 87-89°F are occasionally exceeded under light steering flow and modest mid-level moisture. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with no strong ridge or dry-air intrusion to push readings into the mid-90s, keeping higher outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will refine land-breeze timing and convective initiation, key variables for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$6,888End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance project a Miami high temperature on August 7 in the upper 80s to low 90s°F, with showers or thunderstorms likely to develop and cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. This aligns with the market-implied consensus around 90-91°F while reflecting August climatology where average highs near 87-89°F are occasionally exceeded under light steering flow and modest mid-level moisture. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with no strong ridge or dry-air intrusion to push readings into the mid-90s, keeping higher outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will refine land-breeze timing and convective initiation, key variables for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,888End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance project a Miami high temperature on August 7 in the upper 80s to low 90s°F, with showers or thunderstorms likely to develop and cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. This aligns with the market-implied consensus around 90-91°F while reflecting August climatology where average highs near 87-89°F are occasionally exceeded under light steering flow and modest mid-level moisture. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with no strong ridge or dry-air intrusion to push readings into the mid-90s, keeping higher outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will refine land-breeze timing and convective initiation, key variables for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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