Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 34°C as the daily maximum in Milan due to real-time surface observations and model consensus from regional meteorological networks showing afternoon peaks stabilizing at that level amid clear skies and light winds. Italy's ongoing summer heatwave, with multiple cities under red alerts, has produced consistent readings near 34–36°C across the Po Valley, aligning closely with historical August baselines around 30–32°C. Final resolution hinges on official station data verification, where minor adjustments from microclimate effects or reporting lags remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome despite the strong current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 15?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$44,484 Vol.
$44,484 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$44,484 Vol.
$44,484 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,729 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$12,467 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$10,143 Vol.
100%
35°C
$8,666 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$6,149 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,663 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 34°C as the daily maximum in Milan due to real-time surface observations and model consensus from regional meteorological networks showing afternoon peaks stabilizing at that level amid clear skies and light winds. Italy's ongoing summer heatwave, with multiple cities under red alerts, has produced consistent readings near 34–36°C across the Po Valley, aligning closely with historical August baselines around 30–32°C. Final resolution hinges on official station data verification, where minor adjustments from microclimate effects or reporting lags remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome despite the strong current evidence.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$44,484End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 34°C as the daily maximum in Milan due to real-time surface observations and model consensus from regional meteorological networks showing afternoon peaks stabilizing at that level amid clear skies and light winds. Italy's ongoing summer heatwave, with multiple cities under red alerts, has produced consistent readings near 34–36°C across the Po Valley, aligning closely with historical August baselines around 30–32°C. Final resolution hinges on official station data verification, where minor adjustments from microclimate effects or reporting lags remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome despite the strong current evidence.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,484End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 34°C as the daily maximum in Milan due to real-time surface observations and model consensus from regional meteorological networks showing afternoon peaks stabilizing at that level amid clear skies and light winds. Italy's ongoing summer heatwave, with multiple cities under red alerts, has produced consistent readings near 34–36°C across the Po Valley, aligning closely with historical August baselines around 30–32°C. Final resolution hinges on official station data verification, where minor adjustments from microclimate effects or reporting lags remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome despite the strong current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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