Official meteorological observations from Russian agencies confirm that Moscow's maximum air temperature on August 13 reached 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass that suppressed daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. This aligns with real-time station data and model verification showing limited solar insolation and afternoon peaks no higher than this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified post-event readings rather than forecasts, with skin-in-the-game positioning eliminating residual uncertainty. While near-certain, rare scenarios such as revised station calibrations, inclusion of urban heat island effects from alternative monitoring sites, or official reanalysis adjustments could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though such changes remain highly improbable given multiple independent verification sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$50,337 Vol.
$50,337 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$50,337 Vol.
$50,337 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$1,547 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,631 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,920 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$10,457 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,612 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,104 Vol.
No
18°C
$7,403 Vol.
No
19°C
$878 Vol.
No
20°C
$976 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,426 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$383 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Russian agencies confirm that Moscow's maximum air temperature on August 13 reached 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass that suppressed daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. This aligns with real-time station data and model verification showing limited solar insolation and afternoon peaks no higher than this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified post-event readings rather than forecasts, with skin-in-the-game positioning eliminating residual uncertainty. While near-certain, rare scenarios such as revised station calibrations, inclusion of urban heat island effects from alternative monitoring sites, or official reanalysis adjustments could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though such changes remain highly improbable given multiple independent verification sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$50,337End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Russian agencies confirm that Moscow's maximum air temperature on August 13 reached 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass that suppressed daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. This aligns with real-time station data and model verification showing limited solar insolation and afternoon peaks no higher than this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified post-event readings rather than forecasts, with skin-in-the-game positioning eliminating residual uncertainty. While near-certain, rare scenarios such as revised station calibrations, inclusion of urban heat island effects from alternative monitoring sites, or official reanalysis adjustments could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though such changes remain highly improbable given multiple independent verification sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,337End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official meteorological observations from Russian agencies confirm that Moscow's maximum air temperature on August 13 reached 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass that suppressed daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. This aligns with real-time station data and model verification showing limited solar insolation and afternoon peaks no higher than this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified post-event readings rather than forecasts, with skin-in-the-game positioning eliminating residual uncertainty. While near-certain, rare scenarios such as revised station calibrations, inclusion of urban heat island effects from alternative monitoring sites, or official reanalysis adjustments could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though such changes remain highly improbable given multiple independent verification sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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