Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather have converged on a daytime maximum of 19°C in Moscow on August 19, driven by late-summer solar angles moderated by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest surface heating that limit convective development. This narrow temperature band aligns with historical August climatology showing typical highs of 20–22°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern suppressing further warming today. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 19°C captures this high-confidence scientific agreement backed by real-time capital allocation, though minor revisions in final official station readings or localized microclimate effects could still introduce small uncertainty before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,146 Vol.
$35,146 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,146 Vol.
$35,146 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$3,085 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,476 Vol.
No
18°C
$7,671 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,057 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$6,625 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,581 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,003 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,183 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,860 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,223 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$380 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather have converged on a daytime maximum of 19°C in Moscow on August 19, driven by late-summer solar angles moderated by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest surface heating that limit convective development. This narrow temperature band aligns with historical August climatology showing typical highs of 20–22°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern suppressing further warming today. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 19°C captures this high-confidence scientific agreement backed by real-time capital allocation, though minor revisions in final official station readings or localized microclimate effects could still introduce small uncertainty before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$35,146End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather have converged on a daytime maximum of 19°C in Moscow on August 19, driven by late-summer solar angles moderated by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest surface heating that limit convective development. This narrow temperature band aligns with historical August climatology showing typical highs of 20–22°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern suppressing further warming today. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 19°C captures this high-confidence scientific agreement backed by real-time capital allocation, though minor revisions in final official station readings or localized microclimate effects could still introduce small uncertainty before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,146End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather have converged on a daytime maximum of 19°C in Moscow on August 19, driven by late-summer solar angles moderated by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest surface heating that limit convective development. This narrow temperature band aligns with historical August climatology showing typical highs of 20–22°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern suppressing further warming today. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 19°C captures this high-confidence scientific agreement backed by real-time capital allocation, though minor revisions in final official station readings or localized microclimate effects could still introduce small uncertainty before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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