**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 31°C high in Panama City, Panama, on June 14, 2026 (83.5% implied probability), with only modest support for 32°C (10%).** This reflects the city’s typical early-June climatology, where daily maxima average near 30–31°C (86–88°F) under the influence of the wet season. Persistent high humidity, morning cloud cover, and afternoon convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently cap temperatures in this narrow range, preventing sustained climbs above 32°C. Recent forecasts from multiple models consistently project a peak near 30–31°C amid scattered thunderstorms, aligning closely with historical analogs and keeping the probability mass centered on 31°C. Slight upside risk to 32°C exists if cloud breaks allow stronger insolation, but the baseline pattern of tropical moisture and diurnal convection makes higher thresholds (33°C+) unlikely. Lower outcomes remain improbable given the entrenched warm-season baseline. Market pricing thus aggregates reliable seasonal and short-term guidance rather than any anomalous heat signal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 14 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Panama City il 14 giugno?
31°C 96.5%
32°C 4%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$18,066 Vol.
$18,066 Vol.
14 giu 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
97%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 96.5%
32°C 4%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$18,066 Vol.
$18,066 Vol.
14 giu 2026
26°C o inferiore
$173 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,377 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$676 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,289 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,547 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,138 Vol.
97%
32°C
$2,108 Vol.
4%
33°C
$1,243 Vol.
1%
34°C
$877 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$602 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 31°C high in Panama City, Panama, on June 14, 2026 (83.5% implied probability), with only modest support for 32°C (10%).**
This reflects the city’s typical early-June climatology, where daily maxima average near 30–31°C (86–88°F) under the influence of the wet season. Persistent high humidity, morning cloud cover, and afternoon convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently cap temperatures in this narrow range, preventing sustained climbs above 32°C. Recent forecasts from multiple models consistently project a peak near 30–31°C amid scattered thunderstorms, aligning closely with historical analogs and keeping the probability mass centered on 31°C.
Slight upside risk to 32°C exists if cloud breaks allow stronger insolation, but the baseline pattern of tropical moisture and diurnal convection makes higher thresholds (33°C+) unlikely. Lower outcomes remain improbable given the entrenched warm-season baseline. Market pricing thus aggregates reliable seasonal and short-term guidance rather than any anomalous heat signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$18,066Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 31°C high in Panama City, Panama, on June 14, 2026 (83.5% implied probability), with only modest support for 32°C (10%).**
This reflects the city’s typical early-June climatology, where daily maxima average near 30–31°C (86–88°F) under the influence of the wet season. Persistent high humidity, morning cloud cover, and afternoon convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently cap temperatures in this narrow range, preventing sustained climbs above 32°C. Recent forecasts from multiple models consistently project a peak near 30–31°C amid scattered thunderstorms, aligning closely with historical analogs and keeping the probability mass centered on 31°C.
Slight upside risk to 32°C exists if cloud breaks allow stronger insolation, but the baseline pattern of tropical moisture and diurnal convection makes higher thresholds (33°C+) unlikely. Lower outcomes remain improbable given the entrenched warm-season baseline. Market pricing thus aggregates reliable seasonal and short-term guidance rather than any anomalous heat signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,066Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 31°C high in Panama City, Panama, on June 14, 2026 (83.5% implied probability), with only modest support for 32°C (10%).** This reflects the city’s typical early-June climatology, where daily maxima average near 30–31°C (86–88°F) under the influence of the wet season. Persistent high humidity, morning cloud cover, and afternoon convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently cap temperatures in this narrow range, preventing sustained climbs above 32°C. Recent forecasts from multiple models consistently project a peak near 30–31°C amid scattered thunderstorms, aligning closely with historical analogs and keeping the probability mass centered on 31°C. Slight upside risk to 32°C exists if cloud breaks allow stronger insolation, but the baseline pattern of tropical moisture and diurnal convection makes higher thresholds (33°C+) unlikely. Lower outcomes remain improbable given the entrenched warm-season baseline. Market pricing thus aggregates reliable seasonal and short-term guidance rather than any anomalous heat signal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti