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icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

2 24.2%

3 24%

4+ 22%

1 17.4%

Polymarket
NEW

2 24.2%

3 24%

4+ 22%

1 17.4%

Polymarket
NEW

0

$6,060 Vol.

16%

1

$314 Vol.

17%

2

$134 Vol.

24%

3

$153 Vol.

24%

4+

$168 Vol.

22%

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data hovering near 3.5% alongside a resilient labor market with unemployment around 4.1% have sustained hawkish pressures within the FOMC, driving the closely bunched market-implied probabilities for 2, 3, or 4+ dissents at the December 2026 meeting. The July 2026 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscoring internal divisions over whether elevated price pressures from supply shocks warrant tighter policy despite solid growth and anchored longer-term expectations. June dot-plot projections revealed wide dispersion for year-end 2026 rates, with several participants favoring hikes while others projected stability or cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC decision, August CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter the balance of risks ahead of year-end.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,829
End Date
Dec 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data hovering near 3.5% alongside a resilient labor market with unemployment around 4.1% have sustained hawkish pressures within the FOMC, driving the closely bunched market-implied probabilities for 2, 3, or 4+ dissents at the December 2026 meeting. The July 2026 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscoring internal divisions over whether elevated price pressures from supply shocks warrant tighter policy despite solid growth and anchored longer-term expectations. June dot-plot projections revealed wide dispersion for year-end 2026 rates, with several participants favoring hikes while others projected stability or cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC decision, August CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter the balance of risks ahead of year-end.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,829
End Date
Dec 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2" at 24%, followed by "3" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

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