**Trader consensus centers on a 25–26°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 1, reflecting current model guidance of overnight lows near 25°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers.** A broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea is driving unsettled conditions, with northerly winds of 4–6 m/s and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup, combined with high humidity and residual moisture from the remnants of tropical cyclone Saudel, favors minimum temperatures clustered around 25–26°C rather than cooler values that would require clearer skies or stronger cold-air advection. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate daytime ranges of 27–31°C with continued showers, consistent with historical early-September climatology where overnight lows average near 25–26°C. Upcoming model updates and any intensification of the low-pressure feature over Hainan could shift the exact minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
26°C 33%
25°C 30%
27°C 20%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
13%
25°C
30%
26°C
33%
27°C
20%
28°C
14%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 30%
27°C 20%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$130 Vol.
1%
23°C
$87 Vol.
1%
24°C
$145 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$41 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 25–26°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 1, reflecting current model guidance of overnight lows near 25°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers.** A broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea is driving unsettled conditions, with northerly winds of 4–6 m/s and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup, combined with high humidity and residual moisture from the remnants of tropical cyclone Saudel, favors minimum temperatures clustered around 25–26°C rather than cooler values that would require clearer skies or stronger cold-air advection. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate daytime ranges of 27–31°C with continued showers, consistent with historical early-September climatology where overnight lows average near 25–26°C. Upcoming model updates and any intensification of the low-pressure feature over Hainan could shift the exact minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$403End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 25–26°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 1, reflecting current model guidance of overnight lows near 25°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers.** A broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea is driving unsettled conditions, with northerly winds of 4–6 m/s and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup, combined with high humidity and residual moisture from the remnants of tropical cyclone Saudel, favors minimum temperatures clustered around 25–26°C rather than cooler values that would require clearer skies or stronger cold-air advection. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate daytime ranges of 27–31°C with continued showers, consistent with historical early-September climatology where overnight lows average near 25–26°C. Upcoming model updates and any intensification of the low-pressure feature over Hainan could shift the exact minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$403End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 25–26°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 1, reflecting current model guidance of overnight lows near 25°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers.** A broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea is driving unsettled conditions, with northerly winds of 4–6 m/s and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup, combined with high humidity and residual moisture from the remnants of tropical cyclone Saudel, favors minimum temperatures clustered around 25–26°C rather than cooler values that would require clearer skies or stronger cold-air advection. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate daytime ranges of 27–31°C with continued showers, consistent with historical early-September climatology where overnight lows average near 25–26°C. Upcoming model updates and any intensification of the low-pressure feature over Hainan could shift the exact minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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