Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, keeping the minimum temperature for August 30 anchored near 27°C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts. High humidity levels of 75–95 percent and light southwest winds further suppress temperature drops, while model differences in shower timing and intensity create the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology but introduce modest uncertainty in the precise low, as heavier localized rain could briefly enhance or suppress cooling depending on its duration after sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
31%
27°C
36%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$72 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$49 Vol.
1%
24°C
$639 Vol.
3%
25°C
$301 Vol.
12%
26°C
$418 Vol.
31%
27°C
$227 Vol.
36%
28°C
$461 Vol.
32%
29°C
$201 Vol.
7%
30°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$74 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, keeping the minimum temperature for August 30 anchored near 27°C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts. High humidity levels of 75–95 percent and light southwest winds further suppress temperature drops, while model differences in shower timing and intensity create the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology but introduce modest uncertainty in the precise low, as heavier localized rain could briefly enhance or suppress cooling depending on its duration after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,534End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, keeping the minimum temperature for August 30 anchored near 27°C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts. High humidity levels of 75–95 percent and light southwest winds further suppress temperature drops, while model differences in shower timing and intensity create the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology but introduce modest uncertainty in the precise low, as heavier localized rain could briefly enhance or suppress cooling depending on its duration after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,534End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, keeping the minimum temperature for August 30 anchored near 27°C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts. High humidity levels of 75–95 percent and light southwest winds further suppress temperature drops, while model differences in shower timing and intensity create the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology but introduce modest uncertainty in the precise low, as heavier localized rain could briefly enhance or suppress cooling depending on its duration after sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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