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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?

Aug 28

Aug 29

Aug 30

Aug 31

Aug 28

Aug 29

Aug 30

Aug 31

28°C 94%

27°C 5%

26°C 3%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$16,772 Vol.

28°C 94%

27°C 5%

26°C 3%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$16,772 Vol.

22°C or below

$268 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$204 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,053 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,555 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$2,434 Vol.

3%

27°C

$1,080 Vol.

5%

28°C

$6,270 Vol.

94%

29°C

$3,016 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$416 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$228 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$249 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C low for Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, at 94% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations point to overnight minima holding near 28–28.3°C amid a broad low-pressure trough delivering scattered showers and thunderstorms. Light to moderate southwest winds, high humidity (often 80–95%), and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy skies have kept temperatures elevated, consistent with climatological norms for late August in the region. Recent model consensus and station readings (e.g., minimums around 28°C at key sites) reinforce this outcome. A shift to substantially cooler air would require stronger advection or clearer skies than currently indicated, scenarios with low likelihood given the persistent moist, stable flow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,772
End Date
Aug 29, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C low for Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, at 94% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations point to overnight minima holding near 28–28.3°C amid a broad low-pressure trough delivering scattered showers and thunderstorms. Light to moderate southwest winds, high humidity (often 80–95%), and limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy skies have kept temperatures elevated, consistent with climatological norms for late August in the region. Recent model consensus and station readings (e.g., minimums around 28°C at key sites) reinforce this outcome. A shift to substantially cooler air would require stronger advection or clearer skies than currently indicated, scenarios with low likelihood given the persistent moist, stable flow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,772
End Date
Aug 29, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 94%, followed by "27°C" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?" is "28°C" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27°C" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.