**Latest forecast model consensus and observational data from monitoring stations support a daily minimum near 14°C at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.** Clear skies overnight combined with light southerly winds and low humidity have enabled efficient radiative cooling, consistent with typical late-September patterns for the region where overnight lows commonly reach the mid-teens Celsius under anticyclonic conditions. Historical September minima at the station average around 16–18°C, but current model runs align closely with the 14°C threshold. The market-implied 90.5% probability for 14°C reflects traders’ aggregation of real-time guidance from sources like NOAA analogs and regional models. A shift to increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or warmer advection could push the recorded low into the 16–20°C range and alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 22?
14°C 99%
20°C 21.0%
19°C 20.0%
12°C or below 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
12°C or below
10%
13°C
2%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99%
20°C 21.0%
19°C 20.0%
12°C or below 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
12°C or below
$67 Vol.
10%
13°C
$157 Vol.
2%
14°C
$166 Vol.
99%
15°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$161 Vol.
2%
17°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$45 Vol.
20%
20°C
$15 Vol.
21%
21°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast model consensus and observational data from monitoring stations support a daily minimum near 14°C at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.** Clear skies overnight combined with light southerly winds and low humidity have enabled efficient radiative cooling, consistent with typical late-September patterns for the region where overnight lows commonly reach the mid-teens Celsius under anticyclonic conditions. Historical September minima at the station average around 16–18°C, but current model runs align closely with the 14°C threshold. The market-implied 90.5% probability for 14°C reflects traders’ aggregation of real-time guidance from sources like NOAA analogs and regional models. A shift to increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or warmer advection could push the recorded low into the 16–20°C range and alter resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$922End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast model consensus and observational data from monitoring stations support a daily minimum near 14°C at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.** Clear skies overnight combined with light southerly winds and low humidity have enabled efficient radiative cooling, consistent with typical late-September patterns for the region where overnight lows commonly reach the mid-teens Celsius under anticyclonic conditions. Historical September minima at the station average around 16–18°C, but current model runs align closely with the 14°C threshold. The market-implied 90.5% probability for 14°C reflects traders’ aggregation of real-time guidance from sources like NOAA analogs and regional models. A shift to increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or warmer advection could push the recorded low into the 16–20°C range and alter resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$922End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast model consensus and observational data from monitoring stations support a daily minimum near 14°C at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.** Clear skies overnight combined with light southerly winds and low humidity have enabled efficient radiative cooling, consistent with typical late-September patterns for the region where overnight lows commonly reach the mid-teens Celsius under anticyclonic conditions. Historical September minima at the station average around 16–18°C, but current model runs align closely with the 14°C threshold. The market-implied 90.5% probability for 14°C reflects traders’ aggregation of real-time guidance from sources like NOAA analogs and regional models. A shift to increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or warmer advection could push the recorded low into the 16–20°C range and alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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