Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C in Lucknow, with IMD observations showing 27.0°C on August 27 amid 14–52 mm of rain. Active low-pressure systems and the monsoon trough continue to limit radiative cooling while supplying moisture that favors scattered thundershowers into August 28–29. Official IMD guidance projects a 28°C minimum under partly cloudy to mainly clear skies and strengthening surface winds, yet model consensus remains sensitive to exact rainfall timing and coverage. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C, with lower outcomes priced in for heavier overnight convection and higher readings if clearing accelerates. Traders weigh the latest IMD updates and satellite moisture fields ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
32°C or higher 37%
27°C 35%
26°C 29%
22°C or below 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
28%
23°C
9%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
37%
32°C or higher 37%
27°C 35%
26°C 29%
22°C or below 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
28%
23°C
$208 Vol.
9%
24°C
$40 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C in Lucknow, with IMD observations showing 27.0°C on August 27 amid 14–52 mm of rain. Active low-pressure systems and the monsoon trough continue to limit radiative cooling while supplying moisture that favors scattered thundershowers into August 28–29. Official IMD guidance projects a 28°C minimum under partly cloudy to mainly clear skies and strengthening surface winds, yet model consensus remains sensitive to exact rainfall timing and coverage. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C, with lower outcomes priced in for heavier overnight convection and higher readings if clearing accelerates. Traders weigh the latest IMD updates and satellite moisture fields ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$268End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C in Lucknow, with IMD observations showing 27.0°C on August 27 amid 14–52 mm of rain. Active low-pressure systems and the monsoon trough continue to limit radiative cooling while supplying moisture that favors scattered thundershowers into August 28–29. Official IMD guidance projects a 28°C minimum under partly cloudy to mainly clear skies and strengthening surface winds, yet model consensus remains sensitive to exact rainfall timing and coverage. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C, with lower outcomes priced in for heavier overnight convection and higher readings if clearing accelerates. Traders weigh the latest IMD updates and satellite moisture fields ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$268End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C in Lucknow, with IMD observations showing 27.0°C on August 27 amid 14–52 mm of rain. Active low-pressure systems and the monsoon trough continue to limit radiative cooling while supplying moisture that favors scattered thundershowers into August 28–29. Official IMD guidance projects a 28°C minimum under partly cloudy to mainly clear skies and strengthening surface winds, yet model consensus remains sensitive to exact rainfall timing and coverage. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C, with lower outcomes priced in for heavier overnight convection and higher readings if clearing accelerates. Traders weigh the latest IMD updates and satellite moisture fields ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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