Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including an active trough line across Uttar Pradesh, drives cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (80–95%) that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered. Latest model guidance and official IMD observations indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 28, with recent days showing minima around 26–27°C amid light to moderate rain. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which can alter the magnitude of nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C; stronger or earlier convection favors the lower end of the range while partial clearing supports slightly higher values. Historical August norms for Lucknow (roughly 25–28°C) align with current conditions under active monsoon flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
26°C 47%
27°C 43%
28°C 39%
24°C 33%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
30%
24°C
33%
25°C
32%
26°C
47%
27°C
43%
28°C
39%
29°C
19%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 47%
27°C 43%
28°C 39%
24°C 33%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
33%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
47%
27°C
$0 Vol.
43%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$22 Vol.
19%
30°C
$22 Vol.
3%
31°C
$32 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including an active trough line across Uttar Pradesh, drives cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (80–95%) that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered. Latest model guidance and official IMD observations indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 28, with recent days showing minima around 26–27°C amid light to moderate rain. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which can alter the magnitude of nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C; stronger or earlier convection favors the lower end of the range while partial clearing supports slightly higher values. Historical August norms for Lucknow (roughly 25–28°C) align with current conditions under active monsoon flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$119End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including an active trough line across Uttar Pradesh, drives cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (80–95%) that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered. Latest model guidance and official IMD observations indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 28, with recent days showing minima around 26–27°C amid light to moderate rain. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which can alter the magnitude of nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C; stronger or earlier convection favors the lower end of the range while partial clearing supports slightly higher values. Historical August norms for Lucknow (roughly 25–28°C) align with current conditions under active monsoon flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$119End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including an active trough line across Uttar Pradesh, drives cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (80–95%) that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered. Latest model guidance and official IMD observations indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 28, with recent days showing minima around 26–27°C amid light to moderate rain. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which can alter the magnitude of nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C; stronger or earlier convection favors the lower end of the range while partial clearing supports slightly higher values. Historical August norms for Lucknow (roughly 25–28°C) align with current conditions under active monsoon flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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