Incoming showers and thunderstorms associated with a passing perturbation are the main driver keeping Milan’s September 9 overnight low forecast centered near 17–20 °C. Multiple model runs show variable cloud cover and rainfall timing that will limit or enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, with lighter winds under clearer breaks favoring lower readings and persistent low-level moisture supporting slightly milder values. Historical early-September climatology places average minima around 16 °C, so current guidance reflects modest cooling from an approaching front. Traders weigh these factors against the next ECMWF and GFS updates expected before resolution, as small shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed could easily move the observed low across the tightly bunched 17–20 °C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 9?
18°C 32%
19°C 27%
17°C 27%
15°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
32%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
6%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 32%
19°C 27%
17°C 27%
15°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$45 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$10 Vol.
27%
21°C
$10 Vol.
6%
22°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$187 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming showers and thunderstorms associated with a passing perturbation are the main driver keeping Milan’s September 9 overnight low forecast centered near 17–20 °C. Multiple model runs show variable cloud cover and rainfall timing that will limit or enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, with lighter winds under clearer breaks favoring lower readings and persistent low-level moisture supporting slightly milder values. Historical early-September climatology places average minima around 16 °C, so current guidance reflects modest cooling from an approaching front. Traders weigh these factors against the next ECMWF and GFS updates expected before resolution, as small shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed could easily move the observed low across the tightly bunched 17–20 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$359End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming showers and thunderstorms associated with a passing perturbation are the main driver keeping Milan’s September 9 overnight low forecast centered near 17–20 °C. Multiple model runs show variable cloud cover and rainfall timing that will limit or enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, with lighter winds under clearer breaks favoring lower readings and persistent low-level moisture supporting slightly milder values. Historical early-September climatology places average minima around 16 °C, so current guidance reflects modest cooling from an approaching front. Traders weigh these factors against the next ECMWF and GFS updates expected before resolution, as small shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed could easily move the observed low across the tightly bunched 17–20 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$359End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming showers and thunderstorms associated with a passing perturbation are the main driver keeping Milan’s September 9 overnight low forecast centered near 17–20 °C. Multiple model runs show variable cloud cover and rainfall timing that will limit or enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, with lighter winds under clearer breaks favoring lower readings and persistent low-level moisture supporting slightly milder values. Historical early-September climatology places average minima around 16 °C, so current guidance reflects modest cooling from an approaching front. Traders weigh these factors against the next ECMWF and GFS updates expected before resolution, as small shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed could easily move the observed low across the tightly bunched 17–20 °C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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