Aperture of a cool northerly flow and an incoming Atlantic perturbation are suppressing daytime heating over Milan on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rain, and surface cooling limiting the maximum temperature. Multiple forecast runs from regional and global models converge on afternoon peaks between 21–22 °C, though exact timing of heaviest precipitation and residual insolation under breaks in cloud could shift the observed high by 1 °C in either direction. This places the market-implied odds near the center of the ensemble spread, where traders weigh the balance between stronger frontal cooling that favors 21 °C and any late-day clearing that could briefly allow 23 °C. Updated model cycles and real-time surface observations through the morning will narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 10?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 10?
22°C 30%
21°C 28%
23°C 15%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
28%
22°C
30%
23°C
15%
24°C or higher
9%
22°C 30%
21°C 28%
23°C 15%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$211 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$34 Vol.
1%
19°C
$90 Vol.
3%
20°C
$163 Vol.
14%
21°C
$394 Vol.
28%
22°C
$209 Vol.
30%
23°C
$355 Vol.
15%
24°C or higher
$1,387 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Aperture of a cool northerly flow and an incoming Atlantic perturbation are suppressing daytime heating over Milan on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rain, and surface cooling limiting the maximum temperature. Multiple forecast runs from regional and global models converge on afternoon peaks between 21–22 °C, though exact timing of heaviest precipitation and residual insolation under breaks in cloud could shift the observed high by 1 °C in either direction. This places the market-implied odds near the center of the ensemble spread, where traders weigh the balance between stronger frontal cooling that favors 21 °C and any late-day clearing that could briefly allow 23 °C. Updated model cycles and real-time surface observations through the morning will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,761End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Aperture of a cool northerly flow and an incoming Atlantic perturbation are suppressing daytime heating over Milan on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rain, and surface cooling limiting the maximum temperature. Multiple forecast runs from regional and global models converge on afternoon peaks between 21–22 °C, though exact timing of heaviest precipitation and residual insolation under breaks in cloud could shift the observed high by 1 °C in either direction. This places the market-implied odds near the center of the ensemble spread, where traders weigh the balance between stronger frontal cooling that favors 21 °C and any late-day clearing that could briefly allow 23 °C. Updated model cycles and real-time surface observations through the morning will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,761End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aperture of a cool northerly flow and an incoming Atlantic perturbation are suppressing daytime heating over Milan on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rain, and surface cooling limiting the maximum temperature. Multiple forecast runs from regional and global models converge on afternoon peaks between 21–22 °C, though exact timing of heaviest precipitation and residual insolation under breaks in cloud could shift the observed high by 1 °C in either direction. This places the market-implied odds near the center of the ensemble spread, where traders weigh the balance between stronger frontal cooling that favors 21 °C and any late-day clearing that could briefly allow 23 °C. Updated model cycles and real-time surface observations through the morning will narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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