Traders see near-even odds between a low of 9°C or below and 19°C or higher for Munich on September 14 because short-range model runs show high sensitivity to the timing of a passing frontal system and variable cloud cover. European models such as ECMWF and ICON currently indicate a mild autumnal air mass with daytime maxima near 20°C, yet overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could push the minimum several degrees lower than guidance that assumes lingering cloud or a warmer return flow. Historical September minima in the city average around 10–12°C, but recent upstream observations from the Alps and North Sea highlight the potential for either stronger nocturnal cooling or a modest warm advection. Updated model cycles and local DWD observations over the next 48 hours will likely shift the distribution as the precise steering and boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 14?
9°C or below 68%
19°C or higher 68%
10°C 38%
11°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
68%
10°C
38%
11°C
38%
12°C
21%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
22%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C or higher
68%
9°C or below 68%
19°C or higher 68%
10°C 38%
11°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
68%
10°C
$0 Vol.
38%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between a low of 9°C or below and 19°C or higher for Munich on September 14 because short-range model runs show high sensitivity to the timing of a passing frontal system and variable cloud cover. European models such as ECMWF and ICON currently indicate a mild autumnal air mass with daytime maxima near 20°C, yet overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could push the minimum several degrees lower than guidance that assumes lingering cloud or a warmer return flow. Historical September minima in the city average around 10–12°C, but recent upstream observations from the Alps and North Sea highlight the potential for either stronger nocturnal cooling or a modest warm advection. Updated model cycles and local DWD observations over the next 48 hours will likely shift the distribution as the precise steering and boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between a low of 9°C or below and 19°C or higher for Munich on September 14 because short-range model runs show high sensitivity to the timing of a passing frontal system and variable cloud cover. European models such as ECMWF and ICON currently indicate a mild autumnal air mass with daytime maxima near 20°C, yet overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could push the minimum several degrees lower than guidance that assumes lingering cloud or a warmer return flow. Historical September minima in the city average around 10–12°C, but recent upstream observations from the Alps and North Sea highlight the potential for either stronger nocturnal cooling or a modest warm advection. Updated model cycles and local DWD observations over the next 48 hours will likely shift the distribution as the precise steering and boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds between a low of 9°C or below and 19°C or higher for Munich on September 14 because short-range model runs show high sensitivity to the timing of a passing frontal system and variable cloud cover. European models such as ECMWF and ICON currently indicate a mild autumnal air mass with daytime maxima near 20°C, yet overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could push the minimum several degrees lower than guidance that assumes lingering cloud or a warmer return flow. Historical September minima in the city average around 10–12°C, but recent upstream observations from the Alps and North Sea highlight the potential for either stronger nocturnal cooling or a modest warm advection. Updated model cycles and local DWD observations over the next 48 hours will likely shift the distribution as the precise steering and boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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