Official temperature observations from New York City stations recorded a daily low of 74-75°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market's 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with minimal overnight radiative cooling due to urban heat island effects and light winds. Historical August lows in the city average near 68°F, but recent warm anomalies from elevated sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic supported the higher minimum. Measurement revisions or station-specific discrepancies remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though agency verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,464 Vol.
$14,464 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,464 Vol.
$14,464 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$695 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$393 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,366 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$768 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,457 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,461 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,919 Vol.
Yes
76-77°F
$916 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,694 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,118 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$678 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations recorded a daily low of 74-75°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market's 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with minimal overnight radiative cooling due to urban heat island effects and light winds. Historical August lows in the city average near 68°F, but recent warm anomalies from elevated sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic supported the higher minimum. Measurement revisions or station-specific discrepancies remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though agency verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$14,464End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations recorded a daily low of 74-75°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market's 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with minimal overnight radiative cooling due to urban heat island effects and light winds. Historical August lows in the city average near 68°F, but recent warm anomalies from elevated sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic supported the higher minimum. Measurement revisions or station-specific discrepancies remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though agency verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,464End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature observations from New York City stations recorded a daily low of 74-75°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market's 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with minimal overnight radiative cooling due to urban heat island effects and light winds. Historical August lows in the city average near 68°F, but recent warm anomalies from elevated sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic supported the higher minimum. Measurement revisions or station-specific discrepancies remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though agency verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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