Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles indicate a shift to cooler Atlantic-influenced flow across northern France by August 29, with overnight lows in Paris likely ranging 15–17 °C amid partial cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds of 20–30 km/h, and light showers. This pattern follows frontal passages on the 27th–28th that displaced warmer air masses, moderating radiative cooling and preventing the clearer skies needed for lower minima near the 13.5 °C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain modest but acknowledge potential for slight deviations based on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Market-implied odds clustering on 15–17 °C reflect this consensus from short-range guidance, with limited scope for extremes given the prevailing maritime regime.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
16°C 48%
17°C 24%
15°C 21%
18°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
21%
16°C
48%
17°C
24%
18°C
18%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 48%
17°C 24%
15°C 21%
18°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
12°C
$5 Vol.
9%
13°C
$46 Vol.
3%
14°C
$20 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$62 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$30 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles indicate a shift to cooler Atlantic-influenced flow across northern France by August 29, with overnight lows in Paris likely ranging 15–17 °C amid partial cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds of 20–30 km/h, and light showers. This pattern follows frontal passages on the 27th–28th that displaced warmer air masses, moderating radiative cooling and preventing the clearer skies needed for lower minima near the 13.5 °C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain modest but acknowledge potential for slight deviations based on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Market-implied odds clustering on 15–17 °C reflect this consensus from short-range guidance, with limited scope for extremes given the prevailing maritime regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$177End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles indicate a shift to cooler Atlantic-influenced flow across northern France by August 29, with overnight lows in Paris likely ranging 15–17 °C amid partial cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds of 20–30 km/h, and light showers. This pattern follows frontal passages on the 27th–28th that displaced warmer air masses, moderating radiative cooling and preventing the clearer skies needed for lower minima near the 13.5 °C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain modest but acknowledge potential for slight deviations based on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Market-implied odds clustering on 15–17 °C reflect this consensus from short-range guidance, with limited scope for extremes given the prevailing maritime regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$177End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles indicate a shift to cooler Atlantic-influenced flow across northern France by August 29, with overnight lows in Paris likely ranging 15–17 °C amid partial cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds of 20–30 km/h, and light showers. This pattern follows frontal passages on the 27th–28th that displaced warmer air masses, moderating radiative cooling and preventing the clearer skies needed for lower minima near the 13.5 °C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain modest but acknowledge potential for slight deviations based on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Market-implied odds clustering on 15–17 °C reflect this consensus from short-range guidance, with limited scope for extremes given the prevailing maritime regime.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions