Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has stabilized conditions for Paris, with light northeast winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiational cooling overnight on September 24. Official model consensus points to a minimum near 11–13 °C just before dawn, slightly above the 10.8 °C climatological average, as dew points around 6–9 °C and calm boundary-layer mixing limit further drops. Traders’ tight clustering on 11–13 °C reflects this narrow forecast spread, with small differences in cloud fraction or wind speed the main variables that could shift the exact low by 1 °C. Updated runs from global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 24?
10°C 33%
15°C 33%
12°C 29%
14°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
9°C or below
7%
10°C
33%
11°C
22%
12°C
29%
13°C
23%
14°C
19%
15°C
33%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
10°C 33%
15°C 33%
12°C 29%
14°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
10°C
$0 Vol.
33%
11°C
$84 Vol.
22%
12°C
$104 Vol.
29%
13°C
$84 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
33%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has stabilized conditions for Paris, with light northeast winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiational cooling overnight on September 24. Official model consensus points to a minimum near 11–13 °C just before dawn, slightly above the 10.8 °C climatological average, as dew points around 6–9 °C and calm boundary-layer mixing limit further drops. Traders’ tight clustering on 11–13 °C reflects this narrow forecast spread, with small differences in cloud fraction or wind speed the main variables that could shift the exact low by 1 °C. Updated runs from global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$272End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has stabilized conditions for Paris, with light northeast winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiational cooling overnight on September 24. Official model consensus points to a minimum near 11–13 °C just before dawn, slightly above the 10.8 °C climatological average, as dew points around 6–9 °C and calm boundary-layer mixing limit further drops. Traders’ tight clustering on 11–13 °C reflects this narrow forecast spread, with small differences in cloud fraction or wind speed the main variables that could shift the exact low by 1 °C. Updated runs from global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$272End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has stabilized conditions for Paris, with light northeast winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiational cooling overnight on September 24. Official model consensus points to a minimum near 11–13 °C just before dawn, slightly above the 10.8 °C climatological average, as dew points around 6–9 °C and calm boundary-layer mixing limit further drops. Traders’ tight clustering on 11–13 °C reflects this narrow forecast spread, with small differences in cloud fraction or wind speed the main variables that could shift the exact low by 1 °C. Updated runs from global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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