**Persistent late-summer warmth and high humidity are anchoring Seoul/Incheon overnight lows near 25°C on August 29, 2026.** Official forecasts from KMA and international models show daytime highs of 26–29°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 23–25°C, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover and elevated moisture keep minimum temperatures from falling to the historical August average low of ~23°C. Recent model consensus and real-time observations at Incheon International Airport indicate the overnight low will likely settle at or just above 24–25°C, supporting the market’s strong 83% implied probability on 25°C while assigning only single-digit odds to cooler outcomes. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum readings through the night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
25°C 83%
24°C 15%
23°C 4%
22°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
15%
25°C
83%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 83%
24°C 15%
23°C 4%
22°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
15%
25°C
83%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer warmth and high humidity are anchoring Seoul/Incheon overnight lows near 25°C on August 29, 2026.** Official forecasts from KMA and international models show daytime highs of 26–29°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 23–25°C, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover and elevated moisture keep minimum temperatures from falling to the historical August average low of ~23°C. Recent model consensus and real-time observations at Incheon International Airport indicate the overnight low will likely settle at or just above 24–25°C, supporting the market’s strong 83% implied probability on 25°C while assigning only single-digit odds to cooler outcomes. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum readings through the night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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