Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Incheon on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and light northeasterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Overcast skies and scattered showers associated with a regional weather pattern suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows several degrees above clear-sky baselines. Historical climatology for late August shows average minima around 22.9°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21°C and 23°C. Traders are closely watching the next GFS and ECMWF model runs plus KMA updates for any shifts in cloud timing or wind that could alter the exact low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
22°C 35%
23°C 33%
28°C or higher 25%
25°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
11%
21°C
15%
22°C
35%
23°C
33%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
25%
22°C 35%
23°C 33%
28°C or higher 25%
25°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
35%
23°C
$20 Vol.
33%
24°C
$33 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Incheon on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and light northeasterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Overcast skies and scattered showers associated with a regional weather pattern suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows several degrees above clear-sky baselines. Historical climatology for late August shows average minima around 22.9°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21°C and 23°C. Traders are closely watching the next GFS and ECMWF model runs plus KMA updates for any shifts in cloud timing or wind that could alter the exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$53End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Incheon on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and light northeasterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Overcast skies and scattered showers associated with a regional weather pattern suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows several degrees above clear-sky baselines. Historical climatology for late August shows average minima around 22.9°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21°C and 23°C. Traders are closely watching the next GFS and ECMWF model runs plus KMA updates for any shifts in cloud timing or wind that could alter the exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Incheon on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and light northeasterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Overcast skies and scattered showers associated with a regional weather pattern suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows several degrees above clear-sky baselines. Historical climatology for late August shows average minima around 22.9°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21°C and 23°C. Traders are closely watching the next GFS and ECMWF model runs plus KMA updates for any shifts in cloud timing or wind that could alter the exact low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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