Recent forecast consensus from Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon on August 30 will likely settle near 23–24 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 %, and light winds that limit radiative cooling under a stable late-summer airmass. This setup, typical after monsoon influence, produces a narrow diurnal range with minimal deviation expected from official Incheon observations. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 23–24 °C reflect traders’ assessment of these conditions and modest model spread, while lower probabilities on 22 °C or 25 °C account for possible localized clearing or slight forecast adjustments before resolution. Updated model runs and surface data releases over the next 24 hours remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
24°C 47%
23°C 35%
25°C 9%
22°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
8%
23°C
35%
24°C
47%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 47%
23°C 35%
25°C 9%
22°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$61 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$108 Vol.
2%
21°C
$108 Vol.
5%
22°C
$401 Vol.
8%
23°C
$222 Vol.
35%
24°C
$777 Vol.
47%
25°C
$105 Vol.
9%
26°C
$56 Vol.
2%
27°C
$15 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$1,694 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon on August 30 will likely settle near 23–24 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 %, and light winds that limit radiative cooling under a stable late-summer airmass. This setup, typical after monsoon influence, produces a narrow diurnal range with minimal deviation expected from official Incheon observations. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 23–24 °C reflect traders’ assessment of these conditions and modest model spread, while lower probabilities on 22 °C or 25 °C account for possible localized clearing or slight forecast adjustments before resolution. Updated model runs and surface data releases over the next 24 hours remain key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,622End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon on August 30 will likely settle near 23–24 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 %, and light winds that limit radiative cooling under a stable late-summer airmass. This setup, typical after monsoon influence, produces a narrow diurnal range with minimal deviation expected from official Incheon observations. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 23–24 °C reflect traders’ assessment of these conditions and modest model spread, while lower probabilities on 22 °C or 25 °C account for possible localized clearing or slight forecast adjustments before resolution. Updated model runs and surface data releases over the next 24 hours remain key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,622End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon on August 30 will likely settle near 23–24 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 %, and light winds that limit radiative cooling under a stable late-summer airmass. This setup, typical after monsoon influence, produces a narrow diurnal range with minimal deviation expected from official Incheon observations. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 23–24 °C reflect traders’ assessment of these conditions and modest model spread, while lower probabilities on 22 °C or 25 °C account for possible localized clearing or slight forecast adjustments before resolution. Updated model runs and surface data releases over the next 24 hours remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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