Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a Shanghai overnight low of 26°C on August 13, driven by persistent overcast skies, light rain, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in the region, where cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Trader consensus at 91.5% for exactly 26°C reflects this model agreement and official guidance emphasizing stable atmospheric moisture. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly winds could enhance cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C or lower, while unexpected warming advection might support a higher floor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
26°C 92%
25°C 6%
24°C 4%
22°C <1%
NEW
$17,154 Vol.
NEW
$17,154 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
92%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 92%
25°C 6%
24°C 4%
22°C <1%
NEW
$17,154 Vol.
NEW
$17,154 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
21°C or below
$504 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$584 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,060 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,926 Vol.
6%
26°C
$5,005 Vol.
92%
27°C
$4,472 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,731 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$702 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a Shanghai overnight low of 26°C on August 13, driven by persistent overcast skies, light rain, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in the region, where cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Trader consensus at 91.5% for exactly 26°C reflects this model agreement and official guidance emphasizing stable atmospheric moisture. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly winds could enhance cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C or lower, while unexpected warming advection might support a higher floor.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,154End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a Shanghai overnight low of 26°C on August 13, driven by persistent overcast skies, light rain, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in the region, where cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Trader consensus at 91.5% for exactly 26°C reflects this model agreement and official guidance emphasizing stable atmospheric moisture. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly winds could enhance cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C or lower, while unexpected warming advection might support a higher floor.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,154End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a Shanghai overnight low of 26°C on August 13, driven by persistent overcast skies, light rain, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in the region, where cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Trader consensus at 91.5% for exactly 26°C reflects this model agreement and official guidance emphasizing stable atmospheric moisture. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly winds could enhance cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C or lower, while unexpected warming advection might support a higher floor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions