Current meteorological forecasts for Singapore on September 3 indicate typical equatorial conditions, with overnight minimums expected near 26–27°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and underpins the market’s leading 45% implied probability on 27°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no significant cooling influences such as enhanced monsoon surges or cloud cover expected to push readings notably lower. Trader positioning on outcomes like 21°C or below (33.5%) likely reflects residual uncertainty around urban measurement sites and minor forecast adjustments ahead of final data, while higher thresholds carry lower odds consistent with the narrow historical range of daily minima. Updated model runs and official Singapore Meteorological Service guidance will refine these probabilities in the coming days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on September 3?
21°C or below 48%
27°C 36%
26°C 32%
23°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
48%
22°C
18%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
32%
27°C
36%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 48%
27°C 36%
26°C 32%
23°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
48%
22°C
$5 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$5 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Singapore on September 3 indicate typical equatorial conditions, with overnight minimums expected near 26–27°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and underpins the market’s leading 45% implied probability on 27°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no significant cooling influences such as enhanced monsoon surges or cloud cover expected to push readings notably lower. Trader positioning on outcomes like 21°C or below (33.5%) likely reflects residual uncertainty around urban measurement sites and minor forecast adjustments ahead of final data, while higher thresholds carry lower odds consistent with the narrow historical range of daily minima. Updated model runs and official Singapore Meteorological Service guidance will refine these probabilities in the coming days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Singapore on September 3 indicate typical equatorial conditions, with overnight minimums expected near 26–27°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and underpins the market’s leading 45% implied probability on 27°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no significant cooling influences such as enhanced monsoon surges or cloud cover expected to push readings notably lower. Trader positioning on outcomes like 21°C or below (33.5%) likely reflects residual uncertainty around urban measurement sites and minor forecast adjustments ahead of final data, while higher thresholds carry lower odds consistent with the narrow historical range of daily minima. Updated model runs and official Singapore Meteorological Service guidance will refine these probabilities in the coming days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Singapore on September 3 indicate typical equatorial conditions, with overnight minimums expected near 26–27°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and underpins the market’s leading 45% implied probability on 27°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no significant cooling influences such as enhanced monsoon surges or cloud cover expected to push readings notably lower. Trader positioning on outcomes like 21°C or below (33.5%) likely reflects residual uncertainty around urban measurement sites and minor forecast adjustments ahead of final data, while higher thresholds carry lower odds consistent with the narrow historical range of daily minima. Updated model runs and official Singapore Meteorological Service guidance will refine these probabilities in the coming days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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