Current forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over the western Pacific, producing partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds of 10–20 km/h and expected minimum temperatures of 22–25°C for Taipei on September 24. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for slight variations driven by diurnal cooling rates, urban heat island effects, and any shifts in the ridge's strength. The near-even split between sub-19°C and 29°C+ minimum outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread and potential early influence from distant tropical systems east of the Philippines, though no landfall or significant steering changes are projected before resolution. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 24?
29°C or higher 93%
19°C or below 85%
24°C 42%
23°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
19°C or below
85%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
11%
23°C
40%
24°C
42%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
93%
29°C or higher 93%
19°C or below 85%
24°C 42%
23°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$128 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$7 Vol.
42%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over the western Pacific, producing partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds of 10–20 km/h and expected minimum temperatures of 22–25°C for Taipei on September 24. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for slight variations driven by diurnal cooling rates, urban heat island effects, and any shifts in the ridge's strength. The near-even split between sub-19°C and 29°C+ minimum outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread and potential early influence from distant tropical systems east of the Philippines, though no landfall or significant steering changes are projected before resolution. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$136End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over the western Pacific, producing partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds of 10–20 km/h and expected minimum temperatures of 22–25°C for Taipei on September 24. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for slight variations driven by diurnal cooling rates, urban heat island effects, and any shifts in the ridge's strength. The near-even split between sub-19°C and 29°C+ minimum outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread and potential early influence from distant tropical systems east of the Philippines, though no landfall or significant steering changes are projected before resolution. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over the western Pacific, producing partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds of 10–20 km/h and expected minimum temperatures of 22–25°C for Taipei on September 24. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for slight variations driven by diurnal cooling rates, urban heat island effects, and any shifts in the ridge's strength. The near-even split between sub-19°C and 29°C+ minimum outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread and potential early influence from distant tropical systems east of the Philippines, though no landfall or significant steering changes are projected before resolution. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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