Traders see closely matched odds around 23–27°C for Tel Aviv’s August 22 low because official forecasts show modest nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer conditions, with model spreads driven by variable sea-breeze strength and boundary-layer humidity. Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light westerly winds and partial cloud cover can either enhance or suppress the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles reflect this narrow range, consistent with climatological August lows of 24–26°C, leaving room for small shifts from updated wind or moisture data before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
22°C or below 61%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
28°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
61%
23°C
2%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
26%
22°C or below 61%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
28°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$97 Vol.
61%
23°C
$63 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$1 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$5 Vol.
5%
30°C
$56 Vol.
3%
31°C
$25 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$42 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds around 23–27°C for Tel Aviv’s August 22 low because official forecasts show modest nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer conditions, with model spreads driven by variable sea-breeze strength and boundary-layer humidity. Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light westerly winds and partial cloud cover can either enhance or suppress the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles reflect this narrow range, consistent with climatological August lows of 24–26°C, leaving room for small shifts from updated wind or moisture data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$288End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds around 23–27°C for Tel Aviv’s August 22 low because official forecasts show modest nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer conditions, with model spreads driven by variable sea-breeze strength and boundary-layer humidity. Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light westerly winds and partial cloud cover can either enhance or suppress the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles reflect this narrow range, consistent with climatological August lows of 24–26°C, leaving room for small shifts from updated wind or moisture data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$288End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds around 23–27°C for Tel Aviv’s August 22 low because official forecasts show modest nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer conditions, with model spreads driven by variable sea-breeze strength and boundary-layer humidity. Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light westerly winds and partial cloud cover can either enhance or suppress the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles reflect this narrow range, consistent with climatological August lows of 24–26°C, leaving room for small shifts from updated wind or moisture data before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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