Current short-term forecast model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show substantial spread in projected overnight lows for Tel Aviv on August 23, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 23–27°C. Typical August climatology features radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with mean minimums near 24°C, modulated by Mediterranean sea breezes that limit how far temperatures drop. Minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and cloud cover across model solutions drive the even distribution of trader positions, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the historical range. Updated model guidance and official IMS briefings expected in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
22°C 21%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
24°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
13%
22°C
21%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
22°C 21%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
24°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$27 Vol.
13%
22°C
$27 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$25 Vol.
8%
30°C
$25 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show substantial spread in projected overnight lows for Tel Aviv on August 23, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 23–27°C. Typical August climatology features radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with mean minimums near 24°C, modulated by Mediterranean sea breezes that limit how far temperatures drop. Minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and cloud cover across model solutions drive the even distribution of trader positions, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the historical range. Updated model guidance and official IMS briefings expected in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$131End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show substantial spread in projected overnight lows for Tel Aviv on August 23, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 23–27°C. Typical August climatology features radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with mean minimums near 24°C, modulated by Mediterranean sea breezes that limit how far temperatures drop. Minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and cloud cover across model solutions drive the even distribution of trader positions, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the historical range. Updated model guidance and official IMS briefings expected in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecast model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show substantial spread in projected overnight lows for Tel Aviv on August 23, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 23–27°C. Typical August climatology features radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with mean minimums near 24°C, modulated by Mediterranean sea breezes that limit how far temperatures drop. Minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and cloud cover across model solutions drive the even distribution of trader positions, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the historical range. Updated model guidance and official IMS briefings expected in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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