Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's August 21 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty around typical summer coastal cooling, with the 21°C-or-below outcome leading at 39.5% amid closely clustered probabilities near 24–27°C. August climatology shows average overnight lows near 24°C, driven by high humidity limiting radiative cooling, Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes, and urban heat-island effects. Current model consensus on wind patterns, cloud cover, and any subtle synoptic shifts—such as enhanced onshore flow or reduced daytime heating—could tip the minimum below or near the mean, explaining the spread. Forecasters note that small variations in these variables produce the observed market clustering, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
21°C or below 71%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
26°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
71%
22°C
58%
23°C
59%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
57%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 71%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
26°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$151 Vol.
71%
22°C
$145 Vol.
58%
23°C
$144 Vol.
59%
24°C
$39 Vol.
34%
25°C
$39 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$20 Vol.
57%
28°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's August 21 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty around typical summer coastal cooling, with the 21°C-or-below outcome leading at 39.5% amid closely clustered probabilities near 24–27°C. August climatology shows average overnight lows near 24°C, driven by high humidity limiting radiative cooling, Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes, and urban heat-island effects. Current model consensus on wind patterns, cloud cover, and any subtle synoptic shifts—such as enhanced onshore flow or reduced daytime heating—could tip the minimum below or near the mean, explaining the spread. Forecasters note that small variations in these variables produce the observed market clustering, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,659End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's August 21 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty around typical summer coastal cooling, with the 21°C-or-below outcome leading at 39.5% amid closely clustered probabilities near 24–27°C. August climatology shows average overnight lows near 24°C, driven by high humidity limiting radiative cooling, Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes, and urban heat-island effects. Current model consensus on wind patterns, cloud cover, and any subtle synoptic shifts—such as enhanced onshore flow or reduced daytime heating—could tip the minimum below or near the mean, explaining the spread. Forecasters note that small variations in these variables produce the observed market clustering, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,659End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's August 21 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty around typical summer coastal cooling, with the 21°C-or-below outcome leading at 39.5% amid closely clustered probabilities near 24–27°C. August climatology shows average overnight lows near 24°C, driven by high humidity limiting radiative cooling, Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes, and urban heat-island effects. Current model consensus on wind patterns, cloud cover, and any subtle synoptic shifts—such as enhanced onshore flow or reduced daytime heating—could tip the minimum below or near the mean, explaining the spread. Forecasters note that small variations in these variables produce the observed market clustering, with resolution hinging on official overnight readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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