Recent forecast model runs for Tel Aviv indicate overnight minimum temperatures on September 24 near 22–24°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover reducing radiative cooling, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 28°C moderating the coastal boundary layer. These conditions align with climatological September norms of roughly 22°C lows but leave room for variance from slight shifts in wind speed or timing of any residual moisture. Trader consensus splitting near 48% on 19°C or below versus 47% on 29°C or higher reflects model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the narrow resolution thresholds for exact station measurements, with specific values clustered around 23–25°C each holding about 20–26% implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 24?
19°C or below 95%
29°C or higher 95%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
19°C or below
95%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
30%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
95%
19°C or below 95%
29°C or higher 95%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
95%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Tel Aviv indicate overnight minimum temperatures on September 24 near 22–24°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover reducing radiative cooling, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 28°C moderating the coastal boundary layer. These conditions align with climatological September norms of roughly 22°C lows but leave room for variance from slight shifts in wind speed or timing of any residual moisture. Trader consensus splitting near 48% on 19°C or below versus 47% on 29°C or higher reflects model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the narrow resolution thresholds for exact station measurements, with specific values clustered around 23–25°C each holding about 20–26% implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Tel Aviv indicate overnight minimum temperatures on September 24 near 22–24°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover reducing radiative cooling, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 28°C moderating the coastal boundary layer. These conditions align with climatological September norms of roughly 22°C lows but leave room for variance from slight shifts in wind speed or timing of any residual moisture. Trader consensus splitting near 48% on 19°C or below versus 47% on 29°C or higher reflects model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the narrow resolution thresholds for exact station measurements, with specific values clustered around 23–25°C each holding about 20–26% implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Tel Aviv indicate overnight minimum temperatures on September 24 near 22–24°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover reducing radiative cooling, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 28°C moderating the coastal boundary layer. These conditions align with climatological September norms of roughly 22°C lows but leave room for variance from slight shifts in wind speed or timing of any residual moisture. Trader consensus splitting near 48% on 19°C or below versus 47% on 29°C or higher reflects model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the narrow resolution thresholds for exact station measurements, with specific values clustered around 23–25°C each holding about 20–26% implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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