Recent northerly winds from a cold air intrusion, combined with clearing skies and light winds overnight, are the main drivers positioning trader sentiment toward cooler minimums for Wuhan on September 11. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and local meteorological updates indicate a low near 19–20°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions, consistent with early autumn radiative cooling patterns in the region after the recent frontal passage. Model consensus shows limited intensification of cooling, with historical September averages around 18–22°C providing context, though exact overnight readings can shift with wind speed or residual cloud cover. Upcoming local station data releases on the morning of September 12 will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?
15°C 40%
20°C 40%
16°C 22%
18°C 22%
14°C or below
-
15°C
40%
16°C
22%
17°C
25%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
40%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
15°C 40%
20°C 40%
16°C 22%
18°C 22%
14°C or below
-
15°C
40%
16°C
22%
17°C
25%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
40%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds from a cold air intrusion, combined with clearing skies and light winds overnight, are the main drivers positioning trader sentiment toward cooler minimums for Wuhan on September 11. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and local meteorological updates indicate a low near 19–20°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions, consistent with early autumn radiative cooling patterns in the region after the recent frontal passage. Model consensus shows limited intensification of cooling, with historical September averages around 18–22°C providing context, though exact overnight readings can shift with wind speed or residual cloud cover. Upcoming local station data releases on the morning of September 12 will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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