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Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

icon for Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille 62%

Loyiso Masuku 15.3%

Herman Mashaba 13%

法蘭克·奇卡內 7.6%

Polymarket

$32,603 交易量

Helen Zille 62%

Loyiso Masuku 15.3%

Herman Mashaba 13%

法蘭克·奇卡內 7.6%

Polymarket

$32,603 交易量

icon for Helen Zille

Helen Zille

$6,089 交易量

62%

icon for Loyiso Masuku

Loyiso Masuku

$15,067 交易量

15%

icon for Herman Mashaba

Herman Mashaba

$8,755 交易量

13%

icon for 法蘭克·奇卡內

法蘭克·奇卡內

$1,098 交易量

8%

icon for 大衛·馬庫拉

大衛·馬庫拉

$858 交易量

3%

icon for Kenny Kunene

Kenny Kunene

$736 交易量

1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Johannesburg mayoral race remains closely contested ahead of the November 4 local government elections, with trader consensus reflected in evenly matched probabilities across numerous candidates. Helen Zille’s active DA campaign, featuring high-visibility events and focus on service delivery, has kept her near the top, while Herman Mashaba’s ActionSA bid and statements positioning him as an alternative have sustained separate support. Delays in the ANC’s candidate selection process, ongoing nominations from parties including Rise Mzansi and others, and Johannesburg’s history of coalition outcomes continue to fragment the field. Recent campaign activity and internal party dynamics have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead in market pricing, though further announcements or polling shifts in the coming months could alter positioning before voters decide.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,603
結束日期
2026-11-05
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Johannesburg mayoral race remains closely contested ahead of the November 4 local government elections, with trader consensus reflected in evenly matched probabilities across numerous candidates. Helen Zille’s active DA campaign, featuring high-visibility events and focus on service delivery, has kept her near the top, while Herman Mashaba’s ActionSA bid and statements positioning him as an alternative have sustained separate support. Delays in the ANC’s candidate selection process, ongoing nominations from parties including Rise Mzansi and others, and Johannesburg’s history of coalition outcomes continue to fragment the field. Recent campaign activity and internal party dynamics have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead in market pricing, though further announcements or polling shifts in the coming months could alter positioning before voters decide.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,603
結束日期
2026-11-05
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Helen Zille" at 62%, followed by "Loyiso Masuku" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" has generated $32.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" is "Helen Zille" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Loyiso Masuku" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.