With leading contenders clustered between 43% and 50% implied probability, trader sentiment underscores the unusually wide-open field for the 99th Academy Awards’ Best International Feature Film eight months before submissions close. No countries have yet announced their official entries, leaving probabilities anchored in early critical reception, festival premieres, and historical patterns rather than confirmed campaigns. Films such as Fjord and Fatherland sit slightly ahead on the strength of strong reviews and director pedigrees, while lower odds for titles like Hope or Rose reflect limited visibility so far. The race will sharpen once Venice, Toronto, and other fall festivals screen potential submissions and nations finalize selections in September and October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
All of a Sudden 6%
Rose 6%
Coward 4.5%
The Man I Love 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Mar 14, 2027
All of a Sudden
6%
Rose
6%
Coward
5%
The Man I Love
3%
The Dreamed Adventure
25%
Bitter Christmas
26%
Hope
8%
Possible Love
1%
Fjord
50%
The Black Ball
45%
Fatherland
-
Minotaur
-
Sheep in the Box
40%
The Beloved
-
Parallel Tales
-
All of a Sudden 6%
Rose 6%
Coward 4.5%
The Man I Love 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Mar 14, 2027
All of a Sudden
$59 Vol.
6%
Rose
$59 Vol.
6%
Coward
$60 Vol.
5%
The Man I Love
$55 Vol.
3%
The Dreamed Adventure
$70 Vol.
25%
Bitter Christmas
$57 Vol.
26%
Hope
$61 Vol.
8%
Possible Love
$63 Vol.
1%
Fjord
$80 Vol.
50%
The Black Ball
$94 Vol.
45%
Fatherland
$17 Vol.
-
Minotaur
$22 Vol.
-
Sheep in the Box
$48 Vol.
40%
The Beloved
$24 Vol.
-
Parallel Tales
$12 Vol.
-
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders clustered between 43% and 50% implied probability, trader sentiment underscores the unusually wide-open field for the 99th Academy Awards’ Best International Feature Film eight months before submissions close. No countries have yet announced their official entries, leaving probabilities anchored in early critical reception, festival premieres, and historical patterns rather than confirmed campaigns. Films such as Fjord and Fatherland sit slightly ahead on the strength of strong reviews and director pedigrees, while lower odds for titles like Hope or Rose reflect limited visibility so far. The race will sharpen once Venice, Toronto, and other fall festivals screen potential submissions and nations finalize selections in September and October.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Volume
$783End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders clustered between 43% and 50% implied probability, trader sentiment underscores the unusually wide-open field for the 99th Academy Awards’ Best International Feature Film eight months before submissions close. No countries have yet announced their official entries, leaving probabilities anchored in early critical reception, festival premieres, and historical patterns rather than confirmed campaigns. Films such as Fjord and Fatherland sit slightly ahead on the strength of strong reviews and director pedigrees, while lower odds for titles like Hope or Rose reflect limited visibility so far. The race will sharpen once Venice, Toronto, and other fall festivals screen potential submissions and nations finalize selections in September and October.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$783End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With leading contenders clustered between 43% and 50% implied probability, trader sentiment underscores the unusually wide-open field for the 99th Academy Awards’ Best International Feature Film eight months before submissions close. No countries have yet announced their official entries, leaving probabilities anchored in early critical reception, festival premieres, and historical patterns rather than confirmed campaigns. Films such as Fjord and Fatherland sit slightly ahead on the strength of strong reviews and director pedigrees, while lower odds for titles like Hope or Rose reflect limited visibility so far. The race will sharpen once Venice, Toronto, and other fall festivals screen potential submissions and nations finalize selections in September and October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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