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icon for Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Geopolitics·Putin

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

icon for Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Geopolitics·Putin

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Jul 1, 2027

Jul 1, 2027

$25,325,754 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
Polymarket

$25,325,754 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$1,529,283 Vol.

<1%

December 31, 2026

$21,973,701 Vol.

4%

June 30, 2027

$468,818 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Russian parliamentary elections concluded with United Russia securing a commanding majority in the State Duma, which President Vladimir Putin has presented as validation of his Ukraine policy and leadership. Ongoing battlefield advances, drone exchanges with Ukraine, and diplomatic contacts with U.S. envoys have kept focus on the war rather than domestic succession. No verified health incidents, elite defections, or institutional challenges have emerged in the past month to alter his position. Constitutional rules require elections only in 2030 absent resignation or incapacity, while public and elite consolidation around the current system limits near-term transition scenarios. Market pricing on early removal reflects these structural and political barriers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,325,754
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Russian parliamentary elections concluded with United Russia securing a commanding majority in the State Duma, which President Vladimir Putin has presented as validation of his Ukraine policy and leadership. Ongoing battlefield advances, drone exchanges with Ukraine, and diplomatic contacts with U.S. envoys have kept focus on the war rather than domestic succession. No verified health incidents, elite defections, or institutional challenges have emerged in the past month to alter his position. Constitutional rules require elections only in 2030 absent resignation or incapacity, while public and elite consolidation around the current system limits near-term transition scenarios. Market pricing on early removal reflects these structural and political barriers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,325,754
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Putin out as President of Russia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30, 2027" at 12%, followed by "December 31, 2026" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Putin out as President of Russia by...?" has generated $25.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Putin out as President of Russia by...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Putin out as President of Russia by...?" is "June 30, 2027" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Putin out as President of Russia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.