RFK Jr. continues serving as HHS Secretary with no public indications of departure, as the administration maintains support for his Make America Healthy Again agenda amid ongoing departmental reorganizations and policy shifts on vaccines, food safety, and preventive care. Recent developments through late September 2026, including draft letters on ultra-processed foods and leadership adjustments ahead of midterms, show active engagement rather than instability. Critics in public health have called for resignation or removal, yet these remain unheeded with no Senate or White House actions signaling change. Traders assign an 86% implied probability to "No" based on this continuity and absence of triggering events like formal announcements or confirmed conflicts with leadership.