Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with averages near 37–39 percent amid sustained economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Voter surveys highlight broad dissatisfaction with cost-of-living trends, gasoline prices tied to the war, and recent tariff actions, which have weighed on independent and even some Republican support. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and The New York Times show little movement in the past week, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability on the 38.0–38.4 range. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate lead-up to the September 11 measurement date, leaving the trader consensus aligned with the steady, low-40s ceiling observed in tracking polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 44%
38.5–38.9 30%
37.5–37.9 10%
39.0–39.4 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
10%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
10%
39.5+
1%
38.0–38.4 44%
38.5–38.9 30%
37.5–37.9 10%
39.0–39.4 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$727 Vol.
<1%
37.5–37.9
$1,033 Vol.
10%
38.0–38.4
$2,082 Vol.
44%
38.5–38.9
$1,394 Vol.
30%
39.0–39.4
$684 Vol.
10%
39.5+
$312 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with averages near 37–39 percent amid sustained economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Voter surveys highlight broad dissatisfaction with cost-of-living trends, gasoline prices tied to the war, and recent tariff actions, which have weighed on independent and even some Republican support. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and The New York Times show little movement in the past week, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability on the 38.0–38.4 range. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate lead-up to the September 11 measurement date, leaving the trader consensus aligned with the steady, low-40s ceiling observed in tracking polls.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,233End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with averages near 37–39 percent amid sustained economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Voter surveys highlight broad dissatisfaction with cost-of-living trends, gasoline prices tied to the war, and recent tariff actions, which have weighed on independent and even some Republican support. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and The New York Times show little movement in the past week, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability on the 38.0–38.4 range. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate lead-up to the September 11 measurement date, leaving the trader consensus aligned with the steady, low-40s ceiling observed in tracking polls.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$6,233End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with averages near 37–39 percent amid sustained economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Voter surveys highlight broad dissatisfaction with cost-of-living trends, gasoline prices tied to the war, and recent tariff actions, which have weighed on independent and even some Republican support. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and The New York Times show little movement in the past week, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability on the 38.0–38.4 range. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate lead-up to the September 11 measurement date, leaving the trader consensus aligned with the steady, low-40s ceiling observed in tracking polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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