Trump’s consistent Truth Social activity, averaging roughly 18–19 posts daily through 2026 amid routine presidential messaging on economic policy, endorsements, and administration priorities, anchors trader expectations for an eight-day total in the 80–99 range. Recent days have featured measured output focused on topics such as Federal Reserve actions, AI development, and midterm endorsements without the sustained bursts tied to major crises or holidays that have previously elevated weekly counts above 150. This pattern aligns with the market’s near-certain pricing on the leading bracket. A sudden escalation in news volume—such as legislative developments, diplomatic developments, or high-profile domestic events—could realistically increase output and shift resolution toward higher ranges before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated80-99 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$19,640 Vol.
$19,640 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
Yes
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
80-99 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$19,640 Vol.
$19,640 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
<20
$836 Vol.
No
20-39
$359 Vol.
No
40-59
$755 Vol.
No
60-79
$1,381 Vol.
No
80-99
$2,606 Vol.
Yes
100-119
$3,255 Vol.
No
120-139
$2,971 Vol.
No
140-159
$1,072 Vol.
No
160-179
$802 Vol.
No
180-199
$2,931 Vol.
No
200+
$2,673 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s consistent Truth Social activity, averaging roughly 18–19 posts daily through 2026 amid routine presidential messaging on economic policy, endorsements, and administration priorities, anchors trader expectations for an eight-day total in the 80–99 range. Recent days have featured measured output focused on topics such as Federal Reserve actions, AI development, and midterm endorsements without the sustained bursts tied to major crises or holidays that have previously elevated weekly counts above 150. This pattern aligns with the market’s near-certain pricing on the leading bracket. A sudden escalation in news volume—such as legislative developments, diplomatic developments, or high-profile domestic events—could realistically increase output and shift resolution toward higher ranges before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$19,640End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s consistent Truth Social activity, averaging roughly 18–19 posts daily through 2026 amid routine presidential messaging on economic policy, endorsements, and administration priorities, anchors trader expectations for an eight-day total in the 80–99 range. Recent days have featured measured output focused on topics such as Federal Reserve actions, AI development, and midterm endorsements without the sustained bursts tied to major crises or holidays that have previously elevated weekly counts above 150. This pattern aligns with the market’s near-certain pricing on the leading bracket. A sudden escalation in news volume—such as legislative developments, diplomatic developments, or high-profile domestic events—could realistically increase output and shift resolution toward higher ranges before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$19,640End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump’s consistent Truth Social activity, averaging roughly 18–19 posts daily through 2026 amid routine presidential messaging on economic policy, endorsements, and administration priorities, anchors trader expectations for an eight-day total in the 80–99 range. Recent days have featured measured output focused on topics such as Federal Reserve actions, AI development, and midterm endorsements without the sustained bursts tied to major crises or holidays that have previously elevated weekly counts above 150. This pattern aligns with the market’s near-certain pricing on the leading bracket. A sudden escalation in news volume—such as legislative developments, diplomatic developments, or high-profile domestic events—could realistically increase output and shift resolution toward higher ranges before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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