Zelenskyy’s X activity during the September 25–October 2 window sits amid intense diplomatic scheduling at the UN General Assembly in New York, where he arrived days earlier for roughly 20 bilateral meetings focused on Ukraine-Russia de-escalation, air defense support, and energy security. Ongoing Russian drone campaigns and recent U.S. sanctions legislation create steady material for battlefield updates and appeals, while his established pattern of roughly 12 posts per day during active negotiation periods sets a baseline near the middle brackets. The tight clustering of probabilities across multiple ranges reflects uncertainty over whether daily multilingual dispatches and summit outcomes will push volume higher or whether any pause in momentum or lower news flow will moderate output. A breakthrough announcement, major escalation, or additional high-level sessions could widen separation by altering his communication cadence.