Zelenskyy’s X activity during the September 15–22 window reflects steady high-volume posting driven by ongoing diplomatic outreach, daily war updates, and responses to Russian strikes on infrastructure and civilian targets. Multiple posts per day, often in both Ukrainian and English with accompanying media, have kept the implied probability tightly clustered between the 60–79 and 80–99 ranges as traders weigh his established pattern of frequent official addresses against the pace of events. Recent interviews, meetings with European delegations, and exchanges over energy-strike moratoriums and U.S. support packages have sustained engagement levels without clear acceleration or slowdown. Further separation could emerge from a major diplomatic breakthrough, escalated long-range exchanges, or a lull in visible activity that alters the daily cadence over the remaining days.