Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with surveys from late August and early September 2026 showing figures such as 38 percent (TIPP), 37 percent (Reuters/Ipsos), and 33–40 percent across other national samples. Trader consensus on the 37.5–38.9 ranges aligns with these results and the limited movement observed since summer, as economic dissatisfaction—particularly on cost of living, gas prices, and tariffs—continues to weigh on overall ratings. No major new events in the immediate pre-September 18 window have shifted the picture, leaving the distribution centered on modest fluctuations around current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
37.0–37.4 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
5%
37.0–37.4
5%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
26%
39.0+
5%
38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
37.0–37.4 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
$63 Vol.
5%
37.0–37.4
$94 Vol.
5%
37.5–37.9
$24 Vol.
27%
38.0–38.4
$144 Vol.
37%
38.5–38.9
$136 Vol.
26%
39.0+
$129 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with surveys from late August and early September 2026 showing figures such as 38 percent (TIPP), 37 percent (Reuters/Ipsos), and 33–40 percent across other national samples. Trader consensus on the 37.5–38.9 ranges aligns with these results and the limited movement observed since summer, as economic dissatisfaction—particularly on cost of living, gas prices, and tariffs—continues to weigh on overall ratings. No major new events in the immediate pre-September 18 window have shifted the picture, leaving the distribution centered on modest fluctuations around current levels.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$588End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with surveys from late August and early September 2026 showing figures such as 38 percent (TIPP), 37 percent (Reuters/Ipsos), and 33–40 percent across other national samples. Trader consensus on the 37.5–38.9 ranges aligns with these results and the limited movement observed since summer, as economic dissatisfaction—particularly on cost of living, gas prices, and tariffs—continues to weigh on overall ratings. No major new events in the immediate pre-September 18 window have shifted the picture, leaving the distribution centered on modest fluctuations around current levels.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$588End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with surveys from late August and early September 2026 showing figures such as 38 percent (TIPP), 37 percent (Reuters/Ipsos), and 33–40 percent across other national samples. Trader consensus on the 37.5–38.9 ranges aligns with these results and the limited movement observed since summer, as economic dissatisfaction—particularly on cost of living, gas prices, and tariffs—continues to weigh on overall ratings. No major new events in the immediate pre-September 18 window have shifted the picture, leaving the distribution centered on modest fluctuations around current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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