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icon for What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

icon for What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

NEW
Sep 24, 2026
Polymarket

$4,515 Vol.

Polymarket

Quarter 15+ times

$407 Vol.

99%

Customer 10+ times

$0 Vol.

7%

Tariff

$0 Vol.

94%

Expansion

$453 Vol.

79%

Revenue

$326 Vol.

83%

Spending

$0 Vol.

75%

Holiday

$626 Vol.

65%

Labor

$0 Vol.

54%

Dividend

$578 Vol.

57%

Middle East

$123 Vol.

73%

GLP-1 / GLP 1

$243 Vol.

42%

Peptide

$0 Vol.

6%

Hot Dog

$717 Vol.

52%

Automation

$133 Vol.

16%

Gold

$114 Vol.

95%

-No Qualifying Event-

$794 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfCostco’s fiscal Q4 2026 earnings call on September 24 follows monthly sales reports showing 9.9–11.3% year-over-year net sales growth, with digitally enabled comparable sales advancing 17.9–20.9% amid strong website and app traffic. Traders are focused on management commentary around membership renewal rates near 90%, Executive tier penetration, Kirkland Signature expansion, and any updates on tariff refund distribution to members. Competitive dynamics include Sam’s Club fee adjustments narrowing price gaps and Aldi’s private-label pressure on grocery staples, while Costco continues warehouse openings and same-day delivery investments. Recent results also highlighted record gas volumes and stable gross margins excluding fuel effects.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$4,515
End Date
Sep 24, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfCostco’s fiscal Q4 2026 earnings call on September 24 follows monthly sales reports showing 9.9–11.3% year-over-year net sales growth, with digitally enabled comparable sales advancing 17.9–20.9% amid strong website and app traffic. Traders are focused on management commentary around membership renewal rates near 90%, Executive tier penetration, Kirkland Signature expansion, and any updates on tariff refund distribution to members. Competitive dynamics include Sam’s Club fee adjustments narrowing price gaps and Aldi’s private-label pressure on grocery staples, while Costco continues warehouse openings and same-day delivery investments. Recent results also highlighted record gas volumes and stable gross margins excluding fuel effects.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$4,515
End Date
Sep 24, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Costco say during their next earnings call?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Quarter 15+ times" at 99%, followed by "Gold" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Costco say during their next earnings call?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Costco say during their next earnings call?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Costco say during their next earnings call?" is "Quarter 15+ times" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gold" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Costco say during their next earnings call?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.