Recent phone diplomacy between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, including an hour-long call days before the June 2026 G7 summit, has reinforced trader emphasis on indirect engagement over an in-person bilateral. European leaders at the G7 urged Trump to host Ukraine-related talks, yet Putin has not committed to attendance or a U.S. venue, while focusing instead on hosting an ASEAN summit in Kazan. Deepening Russia-China energy and strategic ties, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit with Xi Jinping, support China as the next-most-favored location. Broader uncertainties around Ukraine negotiations, sanctions dynamics, and competing regional summits keep the probability of no meeting by year-end highest, with other sites remaining low-odds options absent new diplomatic breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 18%
United States 5%
Russia 3.5%
$96,152 Vol.
$96,152 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
64%

China
18%

United States
5%

Russia
4%

Turkey
3%

Gulf country
2%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
1%

Other
1%

Finland
1%

Other EU country
1%

Japan
1%

Australia
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 18%
United States 5%
Russia 3.5%
$96,152 Vol.
$96,152 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
64%

China
18%

United States
5%

Russia
4%

Turkey
3%

Gulf country
2%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
1%

Other
1%

Finland
1%

Other EU country
1%

Japan
1%

Australia
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent phone diplomacy between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, including an hour-long call days before the June 2026 G7 summit, has reinforced trader emphasis on indirect engagement over an in-person bilateral. European leaders at the G7 urged Trump to host Ukraine-related talks, yet Putin has not committed to attendance or a U.S. venue, while focusing instead on hosting an ASEAN summit in Kazan. Deepening Russia-China energy and strategic ties, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit with Xi Jinping, support China as the next-most-favored location. Broader uncertainties around Ukraine negotiations, sanctions dynamics, and competing regional summits keep the probability of no meeting by year-end highest, with other sites remaining low-odds options absent new diplomatic breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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